
Merlintrader Trading Pub
Biotech catalyst, news and analysis PDUFA tracker

Merlintrader Trading Pub
Biotech catalyst, news and analysis PDUFA tracker
AI transparency: articles and reports are produced with the help of artificial intelligence and checked through a process that does not constitute specialist validation. They may contain errors: verify relevant information with independent sources. Read the full disclaimer.
Another war in the “Gulf”
A few days after the first wave of attacks, the war is no longer just a story of missiles over Tehran. It now stretches from southern Lebanon to the Strait of Hormuz, from Syrian and Iraqi corridors to the LNG hubs of Qatar and Saudi Arabia, with oil and gas prices repricing risk in real time.
US Energy Corp ( $USEG )
With oil back in focus after U.S.–Israeli strikes on Iran and renewed risk around the Strait of Hormuz, U.S. Energy Corp. (USEG) offers a very different angle from the majors: a small, vertically integrated platform trying to combine legacy oil and gas production with a large industrial gas and carbon management project at Kevin Dome in Montana. This is a deep dive into what USEG really is, how Kevin Dome fits into the 2026 energy landscape, and which catalysts matter from here.
Taxing unrealised gains: why the Dutch “experiment
Taxing unrealised gains: why the Dutch “experiment” is a red line for investors A closer look at the Actual Return Box 3 proposal in the Netherlands, why a 36% tax on unrealised portfolio gains is structurally toxic, and what this…
WAR US–Israel vs Iran, 2026 Small & mid-cap potential “winners & losers”
Focus on factual developments of the last few days (Strait of Hormuz, tankers at anchor, oil spike) and on a sector-based watchlist – not on trying to predict the endgame of the conf
War in Iran 2026 – Geopolitics, Oil Shock Risk and Market Winners & Losers
An editorial look at what the new Iran–Israel–US conflict could mean for global power balances, for oil and shipping routes, and for the sectors and individual stocks that tend to benefit or suffer when the Middle East becomes the epicentre of risk.
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i-80 Gold Corp ( $IAUX ) Nevada hub-and-spoke gold growth story under construction
Gold & Precious Metals – Deep Dive 2026 i-80 Gold Corp (IAUX) – Nevada hub-and-spoke gold growth story under construction A Nevada-focused gold developer trying to turn a cluster of underground and open-pit deposits plus the Lone Tree processing hub…
SKYX Platforms Corp ( $SKYX ) Smart Ceiling Plugs
SKYX Platforms is trying to turn a seemingly boring standard – the ceiling light socket – into a plug-and-play infrastructure layer for lighting and smart-home devices, backed by dozens of patents, distribution partnerships and collaborations with larger technology players. Revenue growth is strong and the product vision is ambitious, but the business is still loss-making and depends on external capital, disciplined execution and a long time horizon.
New Found Gold Corp ( $NFGC )
From pure exploration play to potential emerging producer: where New Found Gold stands after years of drilling at Queensway and the fresh Hammerdown PEA, and what really matters for risk/reward over the next cycle.
AI retail and Merlintrader
When people talk about artificial intelligence in trading and investing, I almost always see two opposite – and both wrong – reactions.
On one side you have those who demonise it by default: “it’s dangerous”, “it fills your head with nonsense”, “it’s useless, markets are moved by others anyway”. On the other side you have those who treat it like a modern oracle: “tell me what to buy”, “give me the next 10-baggers”, “build me the perfect watchlist”.
I work with AI every single day to build Merlintrader’s content, and I can tell you something very simple: the truth is neither here nor there. AI is not an enemy to fight, and it’s not a guru to worship. It is a tool. Extremely powerful if you use it well. Dangerous if you use it badly. Useless if you ignore it.
T1 Energy Inc. ($TE)
Next business catalyst
Late February 2026 – expected Q4 2025 earnings and business update, with more detail on 45X tax credit monetization, Giga America ramp and FEOC-compliant sourcing.
War Ai and the X Ecosystem
SpaceX launches satellites, Starlink keeps front lines online, X shapes the information space, and xAI’s Grok is being wired into military networks. A new Pentagon contest for voice-controlled autonomous drones shows how these pieces are starting to lock together into a single, highly political war-tech stack.
AI in Biotech 2026 $RXRX $TEM $EXAI
Recursion, Tempus AI and Exscientia are three “pure-play” examples of what it really means to put artificial intelligence at the centre of a biotech business model. Used properly, AI can compress timelines, surface non-obvious biology and make better use of messy data. Used badly, it can amplify errors, burn cash faster and create stories the clinic will never confirm.
Top 10 AI Mid & Small Cap Stocks for 2026
The logic of this basket is to follow the AI value chain from data to models to deployment, without touching the mega-cap hyperscalers. Each ticker is plugged into a different piece of that chain: some provide platforms, some sell services, some sell hardware that enables AI workloads.
Top 10 Space Mid & Small Caps 2026
A simple way to think about this basket is to imagine the space stack as layers: access to orbit, sensing, communications, infrastructure and exploration. Each of the ten names here owns a useful slice of that stack, often in niches that the mega-caps either do not want or cannot address efficiently.
Top 10 Us Defense Stocks With Real Growth Optionality
The big defense primes will always dominate the headlines, but the real optionality for capital gains usually sits one step below, in the names that own a niche. In this basket the niches are clear: tactical drones and loitering munitions (KTOS, AVAV), hypersonic testing and missile-defense space constellations (KTOS, RKLB), naval power and combat systems (DRS), training and simulation (CAE), advanced composites (HXL), electronic-warfare computers (MRCY), spectrum and cyber for national security (CACI, SAIC) and high-margin aerospace components (HEI).
Top 10 Biotech Stocks to Watch in H2 2026 — PDUFA Dates & Catalysts
Ten US-listed small- and mid-cap biotech stocks with key H2 2026 catalysts, including PDUFA dates, FDA advisory committees and pivotal Phase 3 readouts. Exact dates are separated from company-guided windows; the original H1 2026 analysis remains available as a historical archive.
Space Stocks in Free Fall
In the last 30 days the “space trade” has flipped from poster child of risk-on to textbook case of brutal risk-off. Launch, satcom and geospatial names are bleeding double-digit days, while some defense-linked players hold up. Under the surface, it is a story of funding, dilution anxiety, macro rates and a sector where AI and defense still pull in structural demand.
Jiade Ltd ($JDZG)
Jiade is a micro-cap education-support company listed on Nasdaq, best known for providing tutoring and training services for adult and vocational education in China. A strategic cooperation with a South Korea–based AI education brand adds an international angle, but the story still sits at the intersection of cross-border ambitions, regulatory risk and the harsh math of small-cap liquidity.
AI disruption 2026 – winners, losers and what it really means for people
The core idea is blunt but useful: markets are paying up for the “picks and shovels” of AI – chips, foundry, high-bandwidth memory, data centres, cybersecurity, observability – and they are putting a heavy discount on businesses whose main value proposition can be replicated by AI agents, plug-ins and low-cost automation. It is not just about which tickers are in fashion; it is about which roles and workflows are becoming cheaper to automate.
AI, drones and US defense after the Singapore Airshow 2026
The Singapore Airshow 2026 is not just a nice backdrop for air displays and static jets. It is a live x-ray of how fast the Indo-Pacific balance of power is shifting, and how quickly drones and AI-enabled systems have moved from the fringe to the centre of the defence conversation. While China shows off fighters and commercial jets to signal that it wants a bigger slice of the regional market, US and allied firms are quietly doing something just as important: locking in long-term positions across drones, autonomy and “AI-ready” hardware.



