Cannabis policy update – July 12, 2026

$MSOS $TLRY $CGC $ACB Cannabis Rescheduling Hearing Week 2 Wrap: Finn, the TBI and the Final Stretch Into the July 15 Schedule III Deadline

The DEA’s expedited Schedule III hearing is almost over. Medical cannabis is already down-scheduled; the “upside-down” adult-use hearing has heard pain-doctor and law-enforcement opposition, and now runs to a hard July 15 finish before the record goes to a non-binding recommendation.

Focus: DEA hearing – Schedule IIIHard deadline: July 15, 2026$MSOS – $TLRY – $CGC – $ACB – $CRONEducational content only
Near-term catalyst

Hearing ends by July 15, 2026

The adult-use rescheduling record closes on a hard deadline set by Acting AG Blanche. No closing arguments; parties file post-hearing briefs.

DEA hearingSchedule IIIEight-factor
Market lens

$MSOS at a 2026 high

The AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF pushed to its highest level of 2026 into the July 15 deadline, with a 1-year NAV return near 104% to May 31 versus about 30% for the S&P 500.

SentimentVolatile
What is already done

Medical already in Schedule III

Since the April 23, 2026 order, FDA-approved and state-licensed medical marijuana products already sit in Schedule III, removing 280E for those products. This hearing covers the rest.

280E relief (medical)Non-binding ruling

Executive Summary: The Record Is Almost Closed

The July cannabis trade is no longer about a vague “rescheduling is coming” headline. It is about the administrative record being built, day by day, inside a DEA hearing room in Arlington, Virginia. Over two weeks the Drug Enforcement Administration has defended its own proposed rule to move marijuana from Schedule I to Schedule III, while a hand-picked group of designated participants – every one of them opposed to rescheduling – has cross-examined the government and put on its own witnesses.

The most important structural fact is that this hearing does not cover all of cannabis. Under the April 23, 2026 order from Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche, FDA-approved and state-licensed medical marijuana products were placed into Schedule III immediately, which already removed the punitive Section 280E tax treatment for those products. What is still being litigated in the hearing room is whether the remainder of marijuana – the broad, adult-use definition under the Controlled Substances Act – should also move to Schedule III.

Week two delivered the opposition’s sharpest testimony. Pain physician Dr. Kenneth Finn called state medical-marijuana programs a “ruse” and compared today’s cannabis landscape to “the pill mills of yesteryear.” The Tennessee Bureau of Investigation put on a narcotics agent who argued the government’s proposal is “deficient” and ignores evidence in the required eight-factor analysis. The final stretch – a pharmacist witness on July 13 and four state governments on July 14 – runs into the hard July 15 close.

For traders, the key is to separate the noise from the mechanism. The hearing produces a record and a non-binding recommendation, not an instant approval. Chief Administrative Law Judge Derek Julius will weigh the evidence and send a recommendation to the DEA Administrator, who then publishes a Final Rule. Julius’ recommendation is not binding, and no statute forces him to rule by a set date. In other words, July 15 ends the testimony, not the process.

How We Got Here: The April Order and the Expedited Hearing

The rescheduling effort began with a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking published in the Federal Register on May 21, 2024, proposing to move marijuana from Schedule I to Schedule III. The process stalled and restarted. On December 18, 2025, President Trump issued an executive order instructing the Attorney General to complete the rescheduling rulemaking “in the most expeditious manner” allowed by law.

The decisive step came on April 23, 2026, when Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche issued an order that did two things at once. First, it immediately placed FDA-approved marijuana products and state-licensed medical marijuana products into Schedule III. Second, it launched an expedited administrative hearing to consider whether the broader definition of marijuana should follow. The formal notice ran in the Federal Register on April 28, 2026.

That split is why the current hearing feels narrow and technical. The medical piece is, functionally, already done. The hearing is about the rest – and because the Controlled Substances Act requires an eight-factor scientific and public-health analysis, the room has been dominated by arguments over abuse potential, dependence, medical utility, product standardization and public safety, not by market forecasts.

Merlintrader read: the tradeable distinction is medical versus adult-use. Medical products already have Schedule III treatment and 280E relief. The hearing decides whether that umbrella widens – and, just as important, how long the paperwork takes afterward.

The “Upside-Down” Hearing: Who Is in the Room – and Who Is Not

The single most-discussed feature of this proceeding is its lineup. Every one of the seven designated participants selected by the DEA opposes rescheduling, and only those parties are permitted to present witnesses, introduce evidence and cross-examine the government’s experts. The DEA – as the proponent of its own proposed rule – carries the burden of proof, which produces the odd spectacle of the government arguing in favor of cannabis while the invited participants argue against it. Legal observers have called it the hearing where “the government is now making the case for cannabis.”

A long list of reform and industry groups asked to participate and were denied, including the Drug Policy Alliance, NORML, the Marijuana Policy Project, the Cannabis Regulators of Color Coalition, the Latino Cannabis Alliance, the Law Enforcement Action Partnership, Doctors for Drug Policy Reform, the Parabola Center for Law & Policy, Supernova Women and Students for Sensible Drug Policy. Their absence is why advocates have described the record as being shaped by “a narrow set of voices.”

The optics extended to access. The hearing opened June 29 in a courtroom with roughly 25 public seats and no cameras; the DEA denied requests from a news outlet, a member of Congress and others to livestream the proceedings. Supporters of reform have argued that a matter of this public importance should be open; the DEA kept it closed. None of this changes the legal test, but it explains the tone of the coverage.

Why it matters: a one-sided witness list does not doom the rule, because the legal question is whether the record supports Schedule III, not whether the room is balanced. But it does mean the evidentiary record is unusually rich in opposition testimony, which the Administrator will have to weigh – and which litigants on both sides will mine later.

Week One Recap: The Government Puts On Its Case

The hearing began June 29 with the DEA’s opening statement, delivered by agency attorney James J. Schwartz, and coverage described the government as coming “out swinging” in defense of the proposed rule. The DEA’s first witness was Dr. Dominic Chiapperino, director of the controlled substance staff in the FDA’s Center for Drug Evaluation and Research – the scientific backbone of the government’s eight-factor case that marijuana has a currently accepted medical use and a lower abuse potential than Schedule I implies.

After the government rested, the opposition began. The first designated party to open its case was a drug-and-alcohol screening association, setting the template for the rest of the hearing: witnesses focused on abuse potential, dependence, impaired driving, product inconsistency and public-safety enforcement. The hearing then recessed around the July 4 holiday, going into recess on July 3 and reconvening July 6.

Week Two, Day Seven: Dr. Kenneth Finn Calls Medical Marijuana a “Ruse”

The most quotable testimony of the second week came from Dr. Kenneth Finn, a board-certified physician in physical medicine and rehabilitation and pain management and a former president of the American Board of Pain Medicine. Finn testified that state “medical” marijuana programs do not operate under the standards required of modern medicine, and a wire report summarized his view bluntly: he called the state medical system a “ruse.”

His most memorable line drew a direct parallel to the opioid crisis. Finn testified that cannabis recommending patterns are “somewhat reminiscent of the pill mills of yesteryear,” and said he stopped writing marijuana recommendations himself after his own patients returned with adverse events. He also argued that recommendations are written by a concentrated group of clinicians – testifying that in Colorado, where he practiced for three decades, fewer than 2 percent of licensed physicians are certified to recommend marijuana.

On efficacy, Finn attacked the evidence for cannabis in chronic pain, the most commonly cited medical use. He testified that of 27 randomized controlled trials he reviewed, 18 showed no benefit and one showed worsening – roughly two-thirds showing no benefit. His case-in-chief, cross-examination and redirect all concluded on July 8, ahead of schedule, and the judge placed the hearing in recess for July 9 rather than start the next party a day early.

Critical nuance: Finn’s statements are witness testimony and opinion inside an adversarial hearing, not settled findings. The FDA’s own scientific review reached different conclusions on medical utility and abuse potential. Both sit in the record; the Administrator decides how to weigh them.

Week Two: The Tennessee Bureau of Investigation Takes the Enforcement Angle

The hearing resumed July 10 with the Tennessee Bureau of Investigation presenting its case-in-chief. Its witness was Erica Stephens, an assistant special agent in charge of the Tennessee Dangerous Drugs Task Force. Stephens testified that deregulation of marijuana – including the legalization of hemp – makes enforcement harder, encourages the involvement of criminal organizations in production and distribution, and negatively affects the health and safety of Tennesseans.

Her legal argument was that the government’s rescheduling proposal is “deficient” and “overlooks or ignores substantial evidence” relevant to the required eight-factor analysis, which she said weighs against moving marijuana to Schedule III. Representing the TBI was Tennessee assistant attorney general Reed Smith, whose questioning ranged across diversion, violent crime, delta-8 THC, and the argument that cannabis lacks a reproducible profile in plant form.

Smith also leaned on the regulatory history: a 2015 Health and Human Services recommendation that cannabis remain in Schedule I, and the way the 2018 Farm Bill’s definition of hemp bears on the 2023 HHS recommendation for Schedule III. That thread – hemp, delta-8 and the boundary between legal and illegal cannabinoids – has been a recurring theme in the opposition’s strategy.

The Final Stretch: July 13-15 and Why There Are No Closing Arguments

The remaining schedule is tight. On July 13, pharmacist Phillip A. Drum, PharmD, is set to testify. On July 14, four state governments – Nebraska, Idaho, Indiana and Louisiana – are scheduled to present their cases. The hearing must then conclude no later than July 15, the hard limit set in the April order.

There will be no oral closing arguments. Instead, under 21 C.F.R. section 1316.64, each party will file post-hearing briefs, with the judge providing instructions at the close of testimony. That is a routine but important detail for anyone modeling timing: the loudest part of the process ends July 15, but the written record and briefing continue afterward.

DateWhat happensWhy it matters
July 8Dr. Kenneth Finn (pain medicine) concludes case-in-chief earlySharpest medical-opposition testimony; “ruse” and “pill mills” framing enter the record.
July 9Recess (schedule moved ahead)Judge declined to start the next party a day early.
July 10Tennessee Bureau of Investigation case-in-chief (Erica Stephens)Enforcement and hemp/delta-8 angle; proposal called “deficient” on the eight-factor test.
July 13Phillip A. Drum, PharmD testifiesPharmacist perspective on standardization and medical-use claims.
July 14Nebraska, Idaho, Indiana, Louisiana presentState-government opposition; federalism and enforcement arguments.
July 15Hearing concludes (hard deadline)Testimony ends; post-hearing briefs follow. No oral closings.

What Happens After July 15: A Recommendation, Not a Verdict

This is the part the headlines tend to blur. When the hearing ends, the parties file post-hearing briefs, and Chief Administrative Law Judge Derek Julius reviews the full evidentiary record and issues a recommended decision to the DEA Administrator. The Administrator then publishes a Final Rule in the Federal Register that sets the actual scheduling determination.

Two features make the timeline genuinely uncertain. First, Julius’ recommendation is non-binding – the DEA and the Justice Department are free to adopt it or reject it. Second, no statute requires the judge to issue his recommendation by any particular date. So while July 15 is a firm end to testimony, it is not a firm date for a decision, and anyone trading the event should treat “deadline” as “end of hearing,” not “end of story.”

Practical read: the binary most retail traders imagine – a yes/no on July 15 – does not exist. The realistic path is testimony ends, briefs are filed, a recommendation comes at an unknown later date, and the Administrator issues a Final Rule that can still be litigated.

Why It Matters for Cannabis Stocks

The market has already been trading the setup. The AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF ($MSOS) climbed to its highest level of 2026 into the July 15 deadline, with a one-year NAV return near 104% to May 31 versus roughly 30% for the S&P 500. That move reflects both the April medical down-scheduling – which removed Section 280E for FDA-approved and state-licensed medical products – and hope that a broader Schedule III outcome extends that tax relief across the industry.

The single-name reactions have been structural, not just sentimental. Trulieve ($TCNNF) moved its listing to the NYSE as TRLV, Curaleaf ($CURLF) completed a 1-for-3 reverse split, and Canopy Growth ($CGC) shares rose on its fiscal 2026 results. Names most often cited as leverage to a broad rescheduling include the U.S. multi-state operators Curaleaf, Green Thumb ($GTBIF) and Trulieve, alongside the Canadian-listed and diversified players Tilray ($TLRY), Canopy ($CGC), Cronos ($CRON), Aurora ($ACB) and SNDL ($SNDL).

The caution is that the tax and demand benefit of full rescheduling is real but not automatic, and it is being priced into a group that has already run hard. Schedule III does not federally legalize adult-use sales, does not by itself fix banking access, and does not remove state-by-state complexity. It principally changes tax treatment (280E) and research access. A one-sided hearing record, a non-binding recommendation and an open-ended timeline all argue for treating this as a multi-step process rather than a single dated catalyst.

Scenarios Into and After July 15

Bull path

The record is read as supporting the FDA science, Julius recommends Schedule III for the remainder, and the Administrator moves reasonably quickly to a Final Rule. Full 280E relief across the industry becomes the base case, and the market extends the medical down-scheduling trade to adult-use operators.

Base path

Testimony ends July 15, briefs are filed, and a non-binding recommendation arrives on an uncertain timeline. Medical stays in Schedule III; adult-use rescheduling stays probable but slow, and the group trades on headlines, filings and each procedural step rather than a clean approval.

Bear path

The heavy opposition record gives the Administrator cover to narrow, delay or decline the broader move, or litigation stalls the Final Rule. The crowded pre-event positioning in $MSOS and the majors unwinds, and the sector re-rates lower on timeline disappointment.

Key Risks

  • Non-binding recommendation: the ALJ ruling does not bind the DEA or DOJ; the Administrator can adopt, narrow or reject it.
  • Open-ended timeline: no deadline forces the judge or the Administrator to act by a set date; “July 15” ends testimony, not the rulemaking.
  • One-sided record: a hearing dominated by opposition witnesses builds an evidentiary base that litigants can use to challenge either outcome.
  • Schedule III is not legalization: it changes tax (280E) and research access, not federal adult-use legality, interstate commerce or banking by itself.
  • Crowded positioning: $MSOS and the majors have already rallied hard; a “sell-the-news” or delay reaction is possible.
  • Litigation and hemp/delta-8 overhang: the boundary between hemp-derived cannabinoids and marijuana remains a contested, unresolved theme.

Merlintrader Bottom Line

The DEA’s Schedule III hearing is ending the way it ran: narrow, technical and one-sided on witnesses, with the government defending its own rule against opponents it invited. Week two produced the sharpest opposition testimony – Finn’s “ruse” and “pill mills” framing, the TBI’s enforcement and hemp arguments – and the final days add a pharmacist and four states before the hard July 15 close.

For the cannabis complex, the actionable facts are unchanged and important: medical products already sit in Schedule III with 280E relief, the adult-use question is still open, and the mechanism after July 15 is a non-binding recommendation feeding a Final Rule on an uncertain clock. $MSOS at a 2026 high shows the market leaning bullish; the process argues for patience.

The cleanest way to frame it: July 15 closes the testimony, not the trade. The next real signals are the post-hearing briefs, Julius’ recommendation whenever it lands, and the Administrator’s Final Rule – each a separate, tradeable step rather than one dated event.

How the First Hearing Collapsed – and Why This One Restarted

This is the second time the government has tried to run a rescheduling hearing, and the story of the first attempt explains why the current one feels so tightly controlled. The original hearing was set to begin January 21, 2025 before DEA Chief Administrative Law Judge John J. Mulrooney II. It never happened.

Pro-rescheduling participants – among them the cannabis producer Village Farms International and the veterans-focused group Hemp for Victory – accused the DEA of improper ex parte communications with anti-rescheduling parties, including Smart Approaches to Marijuana, and of failing to disclose a conflict of interest. In their telling, the agency responsible for defending the Schedule III proposal was quietly coordinating with the people trying to kill it, in a way designed to “subvert the process and thwart” the Justice Department’s own rule.

Mulrooney denied their request for reconsideration but granted leave to file an interlocutory appeal, canceled the January 21 hearing and suspended the proceedings pending that appeal. Then the process simply lost its judge: Mulrooney retired in August 2025, leaving the DEA with no administrative law judge available to hear the matter at all. Joint status reports into early 2026 confirmed that nothing was moving.

The Trump administration broke the logjam with a different lever. Rather than wait for the stalled adjudication, the April 23, 2026 order used a treaty-compliance pathway to place medical marijuana into Schedule III immediately, and then launched a fresh hearing – now before Chief Administrative Law Judge Derek Julius – on a new procedural foundation. That history is why the current record is so carefully bounded, and why every side is watching the process, not just the science.

Why it matters: the first hearing died over allegations that the deck was stacked. The second hearing is faster and cleaner on paper, but the same complaint – a one-sided participant list – has followed it. For traders, the lesson is that procedure, not just pharmacology, has repeatedly decided the timeline.

The Seven: A Field Guide to Who Is Arguing Against Rescheduling

On June 18, 2026 the DEA named seven “interested persons” as designated participants – every one of them a party that considers itself adversely affected by a move to Schedule III. Knowing who they are makes the testimony easier to read, because each brings a distinct angle of attack.

Designated partyWhat it isAngle of attack
NDASANational Drug & Alcohol Screening Association – employers, labs and medical-review officers in the drug-testing industryWorkplace safety and testing; opened the opposition case in week one.
Smart Approaches to Marijuana (SAM)One of the most visible national anti-legalization organizationsPublic-health and policy case against loosening federal restrictions.
Tennessee Bureau of InvestigationState law-enforcement agency (Tennessee has no comprehensive medical program)Enforcement, diversion, hemp/delta-8 and the eight-factor analysis.
Nebraska, Idaho, Indiana, LouisianaA coalition of prohibition-leaning state governmentsFederalism, state criminal law and public-safety impacts.
DUID Victim VoicesAn advocacy group focused on drugged-driving victimsImpaired driving and road-safety consequences.
Kenneth Finn, MDPain-medicine physician, former president of the American Board of Pain MedicineMedical-utility and “pill mill” critique of state programs.
Phillip A. Drum, PharmDPharmacistStandardization, dosing and pharmacy-practice objections (scheduled July 13).

The pattern is deliberate. There is no cannabis company, no medical-cannabis patient group and no reform organization on the list – the parties that participated in the first, collapsed hearing, such as Village Farms and Hemp for Victory, are absent this time. That is exactly why coverage has framed the proceeding as one where the government argues for its own rule while a wall of opponents argues against it.

Plain English: The Eight-Factor Test and Why 280E Is the Real Prize

Two pieces of jargon run through every day of testimony. The first is the eight-factor analysis: the Controlled Substances Act requires the government to weigh eight statutory factors – including a drug’s actual and relative abuse potential, its scientific evidence and pharmacology, its state of scientific knowledge, its history and current pattern of abuse, the scope and significance of that abuse, any risk to public health, its psychic or physiological dependence liability, and whether it is a precursor to an already-controlled substance. Nearly every opposition witness has argued that the government’s analysis is “deficient” on one or more of these factors.

The second is Section 280E of the tax code, and for investors it is the heart of the trade. Because marijuana is a Schedule I substance, 280E has long barred cannabis businesses from deducting ordinary operating expenses, pushing effective tax rates far above normal corporate levels. Moving a product to Schedule III removes that penalty. That is why the April medical down-scheduling already mattered to margins, and why a broader Schedule III outcome – extending 280E relief across the adult-use industry – is what the equity market is really pricing.

Bottom line on the mechanics: Schedule III is a tax-and-research event, not a legalization event. It does not open interstate commerce, does not fix banking on its own, and does not make adult-use federally legal. But removing 280E can swing a multi-state operator from barely breakeven to genuinely profitable – which is why every procedural twist in this hearing moves the stocks.

Primary and reference sources

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Educational disclaimer

This content is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, tax advice, legal advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, short or hold any security. Cannabis stocks are highly volatile, especially around regulatory and rescheduling events.

All readers should perform their own due diligence, verify primary sources and consult qualified professionals before making financial decisions. Witness testimony described here reflects statements made by individuals in an adversarial hearing and is not a finding of fact. Past performance and policy expectations do not guarantee future results.

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